Jun 062014
 

May 2014
After a long and cold winter, Ontarians could finally enjoy seasonal temperatures this month. The colder-than-normal temperature trend that prevailed since December 2013 finally ended. Mean temperatures were within the normal range for May across the province.

Precipitation was also within the normal range for most of southern Ontario, with the exceptions of Windsor and Trenton that received above-normal precipitation. Northern Ontario received more precipitation than normal – except for North of Superior, where normal precipitation occurred.

Snowfall was also observed in Northern Ontario, but the amounts measured were not as impressive as those of last year – when Chapleau received 32.4 cm of snow.

 

source: Geoff Coulson Warning Preparedness Meteorologist Environment Canada …. 416-739-4466

May 022014
 

Former anti-nuclear activists are €˜coming out€™ as pro-nuclear, warning that climate change is far more of a threat

Michael Shellenberger used to sound the alarm about nuclear energy. “I grew up in an anti-nuclear family. I associated nuclear plants with nuclear weapons,” he said. “And we just thought it was something sinister.” Today he believes that the world faces something else that’s even more sinister — climate change — and that nuclear energy is necessary to fight it. “I think the thing that really snapped us out of it was really just trying to figure out, How do you power a world of 7 billion while also dealing with climate change?” he said. “And you look at all the options available to you, and it’s impossible to see how you stabilize emissions without using a lot of nuclear.”

Read entire article

May 022014
 

Sammy McLean, 14, felt overwhelming helplessness as she stood with her family and watched two angry rivers – the Bow and the Elbow – surge through their home, cutting a path of destruction across the downtown Calgary neighbourhood. Furniture flew through the front windows, and the basement and first floor were washed out and filled with mud. McLean remembers thinking that her once calm, picturesque street resembled a war zone…..

Child psychiatrists, psychologists and educators say they’ve seen an escalation in the anxiety levels of today’s youth, who are constantly exposed to doomsday talk about the destruction of our planet. But despite the fact that we live in a world with more volatility and fear, experts say there is hope. And to stay mentally strong, they all advocate not just calling for change, but acting for it.” …

“Dr. Anthony Levitt, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre’s director of research in the department of psychiatry, agrees climate-change anxiety increasingly enters into the discussions he has with many of the young people who come to see him. “Younger people [teens to mid-20s] appear to be much more accepting of the science and facts than older people,” Levitt observes. He’s also seen an uptick in climate-change-related anxiety in parents with younger children.”

Read entire article

May 012014
 

Spring has been really slow to settle in this year, with temperatures continuing to be well below normal. In southern Ontario, mean temperatures were at best within seasonal values. Meanwhile, northern locations were once again significantly colder than normal, as temperatures deviated from normal values in excess of four degrees.

Snowfall amounts received in Northern Ontario may fool the reader into thinking that the amounts presented are those from the month of March. From northwestern to northeastern Ontario, the snowfall amounts received were anywhere from 2 to 3.5 times what is normally expected in April. Overall, most locations in the province were wetter than normal. Total precipitation was especially notable in northeastern, eastern and central Ontario.

 

source: Geoff Coulson Warning Preparedness Meteorologist Environment Canada …. 416-739-4466

Apr 092014
 

The dazzling icescape at the top of our planet is mutating into a place that is barely recognizable to those who have studied it for years. The Arctic is home to some of the world’s most dramatic climate change, scientists say, with warming oceans and air melting ice at a rate experts never imagined possible. The warming there has drastic implications for the rest of the earth, scientists say. “The Arctic is a very useful bellwether of change, and it’s ringing,” Jason Box, an American glaciologist, told NBC News’ Ann Curry. Curry traveled to far corners of the globe for “Ann Curry Reports: Our Year of Extremes – Did Climate Change Just Hit Home?”

Click here to read article and see Ann Curry’s videos

 

 

Apr 012014
 

When looking back at the temperatures for last month, there were no exceptions: it was either significantly colder than normal or there was even record-breaking cold. No parts of Ontario were spared from Mother Nature’s cold embrace. Differences between the mean temperatures and the 1971-2000 normal values ranged downward from 3 to 6.5 degrees Celsius. In many locales, March temperatures broke records for coldness that date back to the 1980s or even the 1960s.

To accompany these exceptionally cold temperatures, there were also significant snowfall totals for the month. Many locations in northern Ontario received more than double the normal amount to be expected. Due to the lack of rainfall, which represents a fifth to three-quarters of the total precipitation for a typical March, most southern Ontario locations ended up with conditions that were drier than normal.

Snowfall totals for the winter of 2013-2014 will be included in April’s edition of the Ontario Weather Review.

 

source: Geoff Coulson Warning Preparedness Meteorologist Environment Canada …. 416-739-4466

Mar 312014
 

Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability (International Panel on Climate Change – IPCC)

By Matt McGrath Environment correspondent, BBC News, Yokohama, Japan

March 31, 2014

Scientists and officials meeting in Japan say the document is the most comprehensive assessment to date of the impacts of climate change on the world. Some impacts of climate change include a higher risk of flooding and changes to crop yields and water availability. Humans may be able to adapt to some of these changes, but only within limits. An example of an adaptation strategy would be the construction of sea walls and levees to protect against flooding. Another might be introducing more efficient irrigation for farmers in areas where water is scarce. Natural systems are currently bearing the brunt of climatic changes, but a growing impact on humans is feared. Members of the UN’s climate panel say it provides overwhelming evidence of the scale of these effects.

Read entire article

Flooded pavilion in China

Mar 292014
 

Research suggests that over the past half-century the maple production season has been shortened by about 10 percent due to climate change, and growers generally agree that freeze-thaw cycles have become much more unpredictable.

One of the things visitors say they like most about watching the sugaring season at Bascom Maple Farms in Acworth, N.H., is when the evaporator runs in the basement of their sugarhouse and the powerful fans blast a column of steam 4 feet wide through the chimney stack and scent the air with maple. Though that hadn’t been happening much this year.

When I asked Bruce Bascom, who owns Bascom Maple Farms, to characterize the 2014 sugar season he said, “What season?” Meaning that the sap flow hadn’t gotten fully underway yet and judging by the forecast, might not get underway here until the end of March, or later. The long, cold winter oddly recalls the record warmth of 2012 as both may be caused by climate change, which threatens the region’s iconic sugaring industry. This year sugarmakers all over the region are frustrated, and so were the people who wanted to visit the sugarhouses and buy the new syrup.

Read more: Boston Globe

Mar 242014
 

Global warming continues unabated, and it remains an urgent problem

By Michael E. Mann, Mar 18, 2014 

The rate of global temperature rise mayhave hit a plateau, but a climate crisis still looms in the near future   “Temperatures have been flat for 15 years—nobody can properly explain it,” the Wall Street Journal says. “Global warming ‘pause’ may last for 20 more years, and Arctic sea ice has already started to recover,” the Daily Mail says. Such reassuring claims about climate abound in the popular media, but they are misleading at best.

Read More

 

 

Mar 222014
 

Saira Peesker, Special to CTVNews.ca

Published Thursday, March 13, 2014 9:06AM EDT

Climate-change skeptics — and everyone else in Canada — had better bundle up. Research shows extended cold snaps like we’ve seen this winter could be a direct result of climate change.

 In a Rutgers University paper published last year, researchers Jennifer Francis and Stephen Vavrus wrote that the melting of Arctic ice was weakening the jet stream, the band of fast-moving wind that separates colder northern air from warmer air further south. As it weakens, it dips southward for longer periods than in the past, bringing icy-cold air with it for increasingly long stays.

 The weaker winds “may lead to an increased probability of extreme weather events that result from prolonged conditions, such as drought, flooding, cold spells and heat waves,” says the article, published in Geophysical Research Letters.

 Read more

 

 

 

Mar 192014
 

Cold temperatures continued as Mother Nature’s thermostat was stuck on frigid. Ontarians experienced exceptionally cold temperatures this month. With the exception of locations bordering Hudson’s Bay, it was colder than normal across the province. Differences larger than five degrees Celsius between the mean temperatures and those of the reference period (the 1971-2000 climate normals), were not uncommon this February. The northwest, north of Superior and southwestern Ontario saw the largest differences. While many locations had experienced colder Februarys within the last 10 years, this February still fell within the top 10 of the coldest Februarys on record – and this was for some stations that have kept records since the 1930s or 1940s.

Significant snowfall was also noteworthy this month. Locations outside traditional snowbelts ranked in the top five for the snowiest February for their location. It was the third snowiest for both Geraldton and Kenora, and the fifth snowiest in Sioux Lookout.

 

source: Geoff Coulson Warning Preparedness Meteorologist Environment Canada …. 416-739-4466

Mar 032014
 

Three simple numbers that add up to global catastrophe – and that make clear who the real enemy is

“… what all these climate numbers make painfully, usefully clear is that the planet does indeed have an enemy – one far more committed to action than governments or individuals. Given this hard math, we need to view the fossil-fuel industry in a new light. It has become a rogue industry, reckless like no other force on Earth. It is Public Enemy Number One to the survival of our planetary civilization.”

Read more

 

 

 

Jan 062014
 

Santa’s revenge: new evidence supports link between climate change, severe weather – Source: The Globe and Mail

Ivan Semeniuk  The Globe and Mail, Feb. 15 2014

Scientists call it Santa’s revenge. It’s the theory that persistent weather patterns at the mid-latitudes – like this winter’s tediously long-lasting polar vortex or California’s severe drought – are a direct consequence of climate change heating up the Arctic. New evidence suggests the link is real, even as experts continue to argue over how much it is influencing the weather on a day to day basis. The effect has implications for severe weather predictions, food security and water use across the northern hemisphere. If the data are right, they suggest that climate change in the Arctic is coming home to roost in a big and expensive way.“It’s starting to get harder to say that something isn’t happening,” said Jennifer Francis, a research professor at Rutgers University who presented her findings Saturday at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science in Chicago.

Prof. Francis based her remark on a reanalysis of data used in weather forecasting over the past 35 years. The study supports the idea that Arctic warming is changing the jet stream, a high-altitude wind that rings the globe, and is a key factor influencing the weather experienced by much of North America and Eurasia.The cause of the jet stream is well understood. Because warm air is less dense than cold air, warm air in the south has a tendency to rise and spill northward, onto the colder air that sits above the Arctic. The Earth’s rotation bends that northward flow into an west-to-east direction. The greater the temperature difference, the faster the air flows and the straighter the jet stream’s ribbon-like path across the northern hemisphere.

With Climate Change, West Nile Virus Could Be Your New Neighbor – Feb. 28, 2014 – source – Time – Science & Space

A new study shows how climate change will contribute to the spread of the mosquito-borne West Nile virus

Invasive species aren’t just species—they can also be pathogens. Such is the case with the West Nile virus. A mosquito-borne virus identified in the West Nile subregion in Uganda in 1937—hence the name—West Nile wasn’t much of a concern to people elsewhere until it broke out of Africa in 1999. The first U.S. cases were confirmed in New York City in 1999, and it has now spread throughout much of the world. Though 80% of infections are subclinical—meaning they yield no symptoms—those who do get sick can get very sick.The virus can led to encephalitis—inflammation of the brain and nervous system—and even death, with 286 people dying from West Nile in the U.S. in 2012. There were more than 5,500 cases reported that year, and the scary thing is that as the climate warms, West Nile will continue to spread.

Climate Change Might Just Be Driving the Historic Cold Snap – Jan. 6, 2014 – source: Time- Science & Space

Climate change skeptics are pointing to the record cold weather as evidence that the globe isn’t warming. But it could be that melting Arctic ice is making sudden cold snaps more likely—not less ….

Sea ice is vanishing from the Arctic thanks to climate change, which leaves behind dark open ocean water, which absorbs more of the heat from the sun than reflective ice. That in turn is helping to cause the Arctic to warm faster than the rest of the planet, almost twice the global average. The jet stream—the belt of fast-flowing, westerly winds that essentially serves as the boundary between cold northern air and warmer southern air—is driven by temperature difference between the northerly latitudes and the tropical ones. Some scientists theorize that as that temperature difference narrows, it may weaken the jet stream, which in turns makes it more likely that cold Arctic air will escape the polar vortex and flow southward. Right now, an unusually large kink in the jet stream has that Arctic air flowing much further south than it usually would.Still, this research is fairly preliminary, in part because extreme Arctic sea ice loss is a fairly recent phenomenon, so scientists don’t have the long data sets they need to draw more robust conclusions about the interaction between Arctic warming and cold snaps.

 Cold weather snap fuels misinformation over climate change – Jan. 5, 2014 – source: Aljazeera 

…. those who think cold weather disproves climate change may be ignoring a solid and ever-increasing body of evidence. Cold weather is just that — weather, which is defined by NASA as “conditions of the atmosphere…over a short period of time.” According to most climate scientists, no weather condition can be linked to climate change.Just as the cold snap can’t necessarily be linked to climate by itself, neither can the unprecedented heat wave currently hitting Australia.  (It’s so hot, meteorologists have been forced to add new colors to their heat maps.) But unlike individual events, weather patterns can be linked to climate change. And scientists point out that patterns suggest it’s getting hotter and weather is becoming more dangerous.

Cold fact: More record lows than highs in the USA in 2013 – January 2, 2014 – source: USA Today

“For the first year since 1993, there were more daily record lows than daily highs that were either tied or set in 2013,” reported Weather Channel meteorologist Guy Walton, who keeps track of the data from the climate center. Through Dec. 28, there were 11,852 daily record lows in 2013, compared with 10,073 daily record highs, according to Walton. A “daily” record occurs when a specific location sets a record high or low temperature for a particular day; other types of records include monthly and all-time. Walton said that an unusually cold spring was the main factor in the “cool” 2013. The year was a stunning turnaround from the USA‘s amazingly warm year of 2012, when more than 34,000 record highs were measured, compared with 6,644 record lows.

Overall, the year was likely a blip in a long-term warming trend: “The ratio of daily highs to daily lows continues to be near 3 to 1 for this decade, so far,” Walton said. Also for the decade so far, there have been 700 all-time record highs set, compared with only 74 all-time record lows. Because the USA accounts for only about 2% of Earth’s surface, what happens here is far from representative of the planet as a whole…

 

THE KEY TO SURVIVING CLIMATE CHANGE – BE PREPARED FOR ANYTHING – Dec. 21, 2013 – source: New Scientist 

Be prepared – for anything. That will be the message of the next report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), its first attempt in seven years to forecast the impact of climate change on specific geographical regions. Due out in March, it will emphasise versatility over any fine-tuned mitigation measures.

Building on the IPCC’s October report on the latest climate science, the Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability report is designed to predict how those global trends will change the areas we live in – as well as wildlife, water supplies, flooding, food and national economies. In other words, the stuff people really care about…………

 

CLIMATE CHANGE COVER-UP CONTINUES: CRIMES AGAINST HUMANITY – Dec. 20, 2013 – source:  Examiner.com

As climate change continues to rear it’s ugly head through extreme weather events, a new study released today gives further proof that the effort to discredit climate change science is alive and well. The author of the study, Drexel University sociologist Robert Brulle, said money is being spent by wealthy individuals and corporations to fuel a ‘climate-change counter movement’.Brulle says,“This is how wealthy individuals or corporations translate their economic power into political and cultural power.”

Some scientists point to this counter movement as ‘crimes against humanity.’ “The anti-climate effort has been largely underwritten by conservative billionaires, often working through secretive funding networks. They have displaced corporations as the prime supporters of 91 think tanks, advocacy groups and industry associations which have worked to block action on climate change. Such financial support has hardened conservative opposition to climate policy, ultimately dooming any chances of action from Congress to cut greenhouse gas emissions that are warming the planet,” the study found….

 

NOVEMBER 2013 HOTTEST ON RECORD  – Dec. 18, 2013 – source: Nature World News 

Land and ocean temperatures around the world soared in November 2013, making it the hottest month since 1880, according to the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.Most regions in Africa, Eurasia and South America experienced a warmer-than-usual November along with parts of Southwest Pacific Ocean and Indian Ocean, the agency said.

“The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for November 2013 was record highest for the 134-year period of record, at 0.78°C (1.40°F) above the 20th century average of 12.9°C (55.2°F),” according to the report by NOAA.However, the U.S. was among a group of few places on earth that had a cooler-than-average November. Along with North America, parts of Greenland and Australia had lower temperatures during last month. This is the 37th consecutive November that has had higher-than-usual temperature when compared with the 20th century average……

Jan 062014
 

Bitter cold, an ice storm and snow are on Ontarians’ minds when looking back at December 2013.

It was colder than normal across the province, but the real story lies in the unrelenting cold in Northern Ontario. The mean temperatures this month were colder than normal by as much as 7.2 degrees Celsius! Records were set for the mean temperatures in December in Sioux Lookout, Dryden, Kenora and Thunder Bay. Another indication of the brutal cold was reflected in the number of days with minimum temperatures below -30.0 C. According to the 1971-2000 figures for December, Sioux Lookout normally has 4.6 days on which the minimum temperature dips below -30C, while Dryden has 3.3 days, Kenora 2.4 and Thunder Bay 1.5. This December, those locations saw 11, 7, 7, and 9 days, respectively. In Thunder Bay, a record was set for the extreme minimum temperature for any day in December at -39.8C on December 31. The former extreme minimum temperature for that location in December was -37.8C, established on December 13, 1976.

Meanwhile, precipitation was within average amounts for most of the province. Locations in the northwest, the eastern shores of Lake Superior, Wiarton and parts of southwestern Ontario did receive above-normal amounts. Given the frigid temperatures, it was no surprise that the rainfall amounts were lower than normal and the snowfall amounts were above normal. Muskoka set a new maximum snowfall amount this month with a total of 212 centimetres. Many locations received 1.5 to 1.8 times the snowfall amount expected for December.

 

source: Geoff Coulson Warning Preparedness Meteorologist Environment Canada …. 416-739-4466

Dec 012013
 

Ontario Weather Review

source: Geoff Coulson Warning Preparedness Meteorologist Environment Canada 416-739-4466 

November 2013 can be summarized by normal temperatures and abnormal precipitation. Peterborough received only about half of the precipitation it usually does. (45mm vs. a normal of 79mm) This was the driest November for Peterborough since 2012.What kind of difference can one day make? Well, in terms of precipitation, the amounts received in a 24-hour period on November 18-19 made up half of all the precipitation received during the entire month in portions of Northern Ontario. Summarizing, Northern Ontario had normal temperatures and wetter-than-normal conditions this month. The highest departures from normal precipitation amounts were found in the area between Sault Ste. Marie and Moosonee. Elsewhere, most of the northwest and Far North were drier than normal. Meanwhile, southern Ontario had normal temperatures, but drier-than-normal conditions, with the exception of locations east of Lake Huron and Georgian Bay.

Nov 062013
 

Highlights include:

– 81% of Canadians believe there is solid evidence that the average temperature on earth has been getting warmer over the past four decades

74% are very or somewhat concerned about the warming trend

– 84% of Canadians strongly or somewhat believe the federal government should take the lead on combating climate change;
– 76% of Canadians strongly or somewhat believe Canada should sign an international climate agreement even if it means doing so before China and the U.S.; and
– 71% of Canadians believe that protecting the environment should be a top priority for the Conservative federal government – while only 19% believe the government is currently doing a good job.

– 68% of Canadians feel that their province has already felt the negative effects of global warming (p. 15 in full version of survey) compared to only 48% of Americans

– 59% of Canadians support the expanded use of pipelines to transport oil and gas around the country; 33% oppose

– sadly, a carbon tax still has a long way to go towards being accepted as a solution – 47% support it, while 48% oppose it
See the full results here, which include questions on carbon taxes, pipelines, government performance and more.

About the survey: The survey was administered in Canada by Léger to a nationally representative sample of 1,502 Canadians (aged 18 and over). All surveys were conducted via telephone in English and French from 10 October to 20 October 2013. Calls were made using both landline and mobile phone listings. The margin of sampling error for the full sample is plus or minus 2.5% in 19 out of 20 samples. Regional margins of error vary according to sub-sample size.

 

Nov 052013
 

The news for moose is not good across the country’s northern tier and in some parts of Canada. A recent and rapid decline of moose populations in many states may be linked to climate change, and to the parasites that benefit from it.

In Minnesota, moose populations from a high of more than 12,000 two decades ago to fewer than 3,000 now. Moose in some parts of Manitoba have declined by 50 percent and more.

source: National Public Radio

Read entire article

Nov 012013
 

Ontario Weather Review

source: Geoff Coulson Warning Preparedness Meteorologist Environment Canada 416-739-4466

 Normal temperatures and various precipitation amounts characterized this transition month.  Mean temperatures were normal to slightly above normal across the province.  Mean temperatures were notably warmer than normal in the Petawawa, Trenton, and Earlton areas. New monthly total precipitation records were set this month in Wiarton, Kitchener-Waterloo and Muskoka.  Those locations received more than double the precipitation amounts normally expected in October.  Many other communities received between 1.5 to twice the monthly precipitation amounts.

 

Unusual precipitation readings (in mm), ranked by variation from normal:

Location

Precipitation

Normal

Difference

Driest since

Kenora

13.0

53.7

-40.7

1992

Wawa

82.2

121.4

-39.2

2011

Sioux Lookout

27.2

64.8

-37.6

1989

Location

Precipitation

Normal

Difference

Wettest since

London

155.3

77.6

77.7

2001

North Bay

165.8

97.6

68.2

2006

Hamilton

137.0

72.5

64.5

2012

Sault Ste Marie

133.2

86.7

46.5

2012

Peterborough

111.0

70.0

41.0

2006

Trenton

108.4

76.0

32.4

2006

Toronto City

96.9

64.7

32.2

2012

Petawawa

102.6

75.1

27.5

2012

Oct 012013
 

source: Geoff Coulson Warning Preparedness Meteorologist Environment Canada 416-739-4466

In terms of temperature, much of the province enjoyed a typical September, but there were significant variations in how much precipitation you experienced, depending on where you were.

Areas in northern Ontario, such as Kenora, Sault Ste. Marie and Gore Bay, experienced heavy rainfall events this month that contributed to wetter-than-normal conditions overall. Meanwhile, many other locations throughout the province experienced a drier-than-normal September overall. Locations such as Sudbury and Pickle Lake received less than half the normal monthly precipitation amount expected.

Temperatures this month were generally within normal values across the province, despite a very hot and humid day on September 10 through much of southern Ontario. Sarnia, London, Kitchener and Windsor each broke records for maximum temperatures recorded for September 10, measured at 35.9oC, 34.6oC, 34.5oC and 34.6oC, respectively.

Sep 012013
 

source: Geoff Coulson Warning Preparedness Meteorologist Environment Canada 416-739-4466

Temperatures for the month of August were normal.  Despite a cold start, the warm finish caused the mean temperatures for the month to be in the normal range.  Northern locations showed the greatest variations from normal values, being slightly warmer than normal, with variations of about one degree Celsius above the 1971-2000 normal mean temperature values for August.

 

Rainfall amounts varied throughout the province.  Northern locations experienced wetter-than-normal conditions.  A number of locations received 1.5 to almost double the rainfall amounts normally expected this month.  Exceptions are for the vicinity of Big Trout Lake, Kenora, Fort Frances and Thunder Bay that received normal to drier-than-normal conditions.  If those locations were in Southern Ontario, the precipitation discrepancies would go unnoticed as most of Southern Ontario was drier than normal.  Thunder Bay received half of the precipitation normally expected in August, while locations such as Muskoka and London received less than half of their normal monthly rainfall.

Aug 272013
 

By Doug Struck
Boston Globe Correspondent

Pillow talk turns out to be the best motivation for climate action. Many Americans say they are likely to be moved to take action on global warming by their significant other. Or maybe a son or daughter. Or close friends.

But not a politician. Or a preacher. And certainly not social media.

These conclusions come from a study on “How Americans Communicate About Global Warming” released this month by the Yale Project on Climate Change Communication.

“It’s easy to come away with the impression that social media is the most important way we communicate,” said Anthony Leiserowitz, who headed the study at the Yale Project. “But it’s still fundamentally about person-to-person, human relationships with our closest people–friends, family, loved-ones.”

The problem with that, Leiserowitz notes, is the study found there is relatively little conversation about climate change within those personal circles– 67 percent of those polled said they “rarely” or “never” talk about the changing environment.

“We just don’t talk about it,” he said in a phone interview from Yale. One reason, he suggested, is that the shrinking media newsrooms of the last decade have produced a sharp drop in environmental coverage. Another reason, he said, is that climate change has been so politicized. “Many people feel constrained. It’s like religion or politics, you don’t want to bring it up at the Thanksgiving dinner because you don’t want to piss off Uncle Bob.”

Read entire article

 

Aug 192013
 
(05/14/13)

Less Than Half in U.S. and Britain Believe in Man-Made Climate Change

In Canada, practically three-in-five respondents say that global warming is a fact and is caused by emissions from vehicles and industrial facilities.

Canadians continue to hold different views on global warming than people in the United States and Britain, a new three-country Angus Reid Public Opinion poll has found.

In the online survey of representative national samples, 58 per cent of Canadians believe that global warming is a fact and is mostly caused by emissions from vehicles and industrial facilities. The proportion of respondents who feel the same way is considerably lower in the United States (47%) and Britain (45%).

While three-in-five Canadians (60%) support protecting the environment, even at the risk of hampering economic growth, only 49 per cent of respondents in the United States—and 44 per cent in Britain—concur.

There is one area of Canada where significantly less than half of respondents believe in man-made climate change: Alberta (42%). In the United States, most residents of the Northeast (53%) and Midwest (52%) think global warming is caused by emissions, but their counterparts in the West (47%) and the South (42%) appear more skeptical.

In Britain, fewer than half of respondents across the five main regions agree with man-made climate change. London (48%) has the highest numbers, followed by Midlands and Wales (47%), the South of England (46%), Scotland (also 46%) and the North (42%).

Since 2009, most Canadians have sided with the notion of man-made climate change. This year’s numbers show little fluctuation from the survey conducted in Canada in June 2012. In the United States, the proportion of respondents who believe global warming is caused by emissions increased by five points. However, it still below the historic highs recorded in November 2009 and August 2011.

In Britain, no survey conducted in the past five years has yielded a majority of respondents expressing belief in man-made climate change, although the proportion of respondents who claim global warming is an unproven theory has dropped from a high of 27 per cent in April 2010 (during the University of East Anglia’s Independent Climate Change Email Review) to 19 per cent this year.

Full Report, Detailed Tables and Methodology (PDF)

CONTACT:

Mario Canseco, Vice President, Angus Reid Public Opinion
+877 730 3570
mario.canseco@angus-reid.com

Full Methodology Details

Angus Reid Public Opinion conducted an online survey among:

– 1,009 American adults who are Springboard America panelists, from March 14 to March 15, 2013.
– 2,008 British adults who are Springboard UK panelists, from March 26 to March 27, 2013.
– 2,013 Canadian adults who are Angus Reid Forum panelists, from March 14 to March 16, 2013.

The margin of error—which measures sampling variability—is +/-2.2% for Canada and Great Britain and +/-3.1% for the United States. The results have been statistically weighted according to the most current education, age, gender and region Census data to ensure a sample representative of the entire adult population of each country.

Aug 012013
 

source: Geoff Coulson Warning Preparedness Meteorologist Environment Canada 416-739-4466

The Ontario Weather Review for the month of July is all wet.  New all time monthly precipitation records were set this month in Windsor and TorontoThe precipitation totals received in July were greater than any monthly precipitation amount received at those locations.  For July alone, Windsor received 3.2 times the normal value and Toronto Pearson, received 3 times the normal value.  For the observation site right in the City of Toronto, it was the highest precipitation amount since 1841!

Locations all over the province received greater than normal amounts of rainfall.   However, as most of those high precipitation amounts resulted from localized heavy showers and thunderstorms, it is possible that other locations, not mentioned in this review, received amounts within the normal to below normal range.  As an example, Earlton had its driest July since 2012.

In contrast, temperatures were generally within normal values across the province with the heat wave experienced around mid-month in Southern Ontario being balanced by the cooler temperatures which dominated towards the end of the month.  That being said, Petawawa did manage to finish the month somewhat warmer than normal with an average temperature 2.1 degrees Celcius higher than the long-term average.

 

Jul 232013
 

Posted 7/23/13

ARENAC COUNTY — Available data from the Environmental Protection Agency suggests the Great Lakes could be soaking up carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, which could change the pH levels in the water and have a negative impact on wildlife.

Galen McKinley, ocean sciences professor at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, said while data is currently limited, computer projections suggest the Great Lakes’ waters are becoming more acidic due to human carbon emissions. She said a similar process is happening in the open oceans.

According to data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administ-

ration, when carbon dioxide in the atmosphere gets absorbed by bodies of water, the ensuing chemical reaction will reduce the pH level in the water. The pH level of a liquid indicates how acidic or basic it is on a 0-14 scale, with water usually measuring at 7 — perfectly neutral. Lowered pH levels should not impact the drinkability of the water in the lake, McKinley said.

McKinley said the open oceans have faced a 30-percent increase in acidity since the Industrial Revolution, and the NOAA estimates that with current carbon emissions, by 2100 the ocean surfaces could be 150 percent more acidic than pre-industrial levels.

McKinley believes the Great Lakes, and smaller inland lakes, could be facing the same issues on a smaller scale.

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Jul 222013
 
By David Templeton / Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

Poison ivy’s shiny green leaves are gourmet cuisine for deer, bear and other animals. Birds like its white berries and spread the seeds by unmentionable means. But the leaves, berries and vine are the bane of humankind and primates. In the hours after the lacquer-like oil, urushiol, gets transferred at the slightest contact, mad scratching begins.

Enough urushiol to fit on the head of a pin can cause misery for 500 people. Even a billionth of a gram of urushiol on the skin is said to cause agony. But now the news worsens.

Chances are rising that whitetails and bruins will have plenty of the leafy greens to consume in coming decades, with people facing a growing challenge to avoid the green curse. Climate change is making poison ivy grow faster, bigger and meaner. Rising atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide and higher temperatures are to poison ivy what garbage is for rats, dormant water is for mosquitoes and road kill is to buzzards.

Read more: http://www.post-gazette.com/stories/news/health/climate-change-is-making-poison-ivy-grow-bigger-and-badder-696379/#ixzz2bUEcCQ2m

Jul 012013
 

source: Geoff Coulson Warning Preparedness Meteorologist Environment Canada 416-739-4466

While temperatures throughout Ontario during the month of June can be considered very normal, precipitation was anything but – it snowed! Kapuskasing received 7.6 cm of snowfall. This is that location’s second highest value for the month of June, but represents the greatest single-day snowfall value for any day in June at Kapuskasing. The previous record was 7.2 cm of snow, received on June 7, 1980.

Total precipitation received in Northern Ontario ranged from below normal to normal except for Moosonee, which received above-normal amounts. In southern Ontario, precipitation was mostly greater than normal, especially in the east.

Jun 212013
 

It’s happening again. Research confirms agreement among most climate scientists that we are altering the Earth’s climate, mainly by burning fossil fuels. And industrial interests, backed by climate change deniers, pull out every trick to sow doubt and confusion. What will it take for us to start seriously tackling the problem?

For the latest study, investigators led by John Cook at Skeptical Science examined abstracts of 12,000 peer-reviewed papers on climate science. They also received comments from 1,200 scientists, who rated more than 2,100 full studies. In both cases, more than 97 per cent of studies that took a position on the causes of global warming said human activity is a primary factor. Less than one per cent rejected the consensus position. The results are consistent with previous research.

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Jun 212013
 

 

 

NOTE from August 29, 2013.  A new study adds to mounting evidence that cooling in the tropical Pacific Ocean is the cause of the global warming hiatus, a slow-down in the rise of average temperatures that began around 1998.  The eastern equatorial Pacific is well known to have an outsize influence on global weather. Years-long ocean trends such as El Niño and La Niña cause alternate warming and cooling of the sea surface there, with effects on monsoons and temperatures around the world. Now a modelling study by researchers at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in La Jolla, California, indicates that a decadal La Niña-like cooling trend affecting as little as 8% of Earth’s surface can explain the slower rise in global temperatures.

Climate experts have long predicted that temperatures would rise in parallel with greenhouse gas emissions. But, for 15 years, they haven’t. In a SPIEGEL interview, meteorologist Hans von Storch discusses how this “puzzle” might force scientists to alter what could be “fundamentally wrong” models.

“So far, no one has been able to provide a compelling answer to why climate change seems to be taking a break. We’re facing a puzzle. Recent CO2 emissions have actually risen even more steeply than we feared. As a result, according to most climate models, we should have seen temperatures rise by around 0.25 degrees Celsius (0.45 degrees Fahrenheit) over the past 10 years. That hasn’t happened. In fact, the increase over the last 15 years was just 0.06 degrees Celsius (0.11 degrees Fahrenheit) — a value very close to zero. This is a serious scientific problem that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) will have to confront when it presents its next Assessment Report late next year.”

We are certainly going to see an increase of 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) or more — and by the end of this century, mind you. That’s what my instinct tells me, since I don’t know exactly how emission levels will develop.”

“Whether it ends up being one, two or three degrees, the exact figure is ultimately not the important thing. Quite apart from our climate simulations, there is a general societal consensus that we should be more conservative with fossil fuels. Also, the more serious effects of climate change won’t affect us for at least 30 years. We have enough time to prepare ourselves.”

Are there findings related to global warming that worry you?

The potential acidification of the oceans due to CO2 entering them from the atmosphere. This is a phenomenon that seems sinister to me, perhaps in part because I understand too little about it. But if marine animals are no longer able to form shells and skeletons well, it will affect nutrient cycles in the oceans. And that certainly makes me nervous.”

Click here to read interview

Jun 012013
 

source: Geoff Coulson Warning Preparedness Meteorologist Environment Canada 416-739-4466

This month, mean temperatures were colder than normal in northern Ontario – but normal to warmer than normal in southern Ontario. For northern areas, it was the coldest May since 2009. For southern locations, it was the warmest since last year. The overall provincial picture is unlike 2012, when temperatures exceeded normal values throughout most of the province.

On the precipitation front, conditions were wetter than normal in northern Ontario, except for the Far North. Locations between Kincardine and Petawawa also experienced wetter-than-normal conditions. In fact, it was the second rainiest May ever in Petawawa, less than 2 mm away from the record value of 123.1 mm (1986). For Chapleau, May’s snowfall amount of 32.4 cm approached the record amount for the month at that location (34.0 cm in 1997). In addition, Chapleau and Geraldton both set single-day records for the greatest amount of snow received for any day in May, with totals of 30.4 cm (on May 12) and 10.2 cm (on May 2), respectively.